Weather Report

Here is your local Doppler Radar.

Weather Forecast information and radar images are from NOAAs National Weather Service in Wakefield, VA.  For more information, please visit: http://www.weather.gov/akq 

Severe Weather Possible

posted Mar 26, 2015, 5:04 AM by nicholas.todd@vawg.cap.gov

Good Morning everyone.  Today there will be a risk for some stronger to severe storms around meeting time today.  The SPC is forecasting a MRGL risk for Severe weather.  Staff keep in touch with me today and check radar regularly.  

Severe Weather Risk for Thursday

posted Mar 25, 2015, 1:12 PM by nicholas.todd@vawg.cap.gov

SPC Text:

SPC AC 251701

   DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK 
   NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
   1201 PM CDT WED MAR 25 2015

   VALID 261200Z - 271200Z

   ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE
   MID-ATLANTIC AND ERN NC...

   ...SUMMARY...
   ISOLATED TO SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ALONG A
   COLD FRONT AS IT MOVES ACROSS THE GULF COAST STATES AND MID-ATLANTIC
   ON THURSDAY.  A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS COULD OCCUR FROM EASTERN NORTH
   CAROLINA NORTHWARD INTO SOUTHERN MARYLAND IN THE LATE MORNING AND
   EARLY AFTERNOON.

   ...MID-ATLANTIC...
   AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH ENCOMPASSING MUCH OF THE CNTRL AND ERN U.S.
   WILL MOVE SEWD ON THURSDAY AS A COLD FRONT ADVANCES SEWD ACROSS THE
   OH AND MID MS VALLEYS. A SFC LOW IS FORECAST TO MOVE NEWD INTO THE
   MID-ATLANTIC REGION WITH MOISTURE RETURN TAKING PLACE SOUTHEAST OF
   THE LOW ACROSS ERN NC AND ERN VA. SFC DEWPOINTS NEAR 60 F ALONG THIS
   CORRIDOR COMBINED WITH SFC HEATING MAY RESULT IN A POCKET OF
   MODERATE INSTABILITY BY MIDDAY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THAT CAN
   DEVELOP ALONG THE INSTABILITY AXIS DURING THE DAY MAY HAVE A
   POTENTIAL TO BE MARGINALLY SEVERE DUE TO THE INSTABILITY COMBINED
   WITH 40 KT OF 0-6 KM SHEAR EVIDENT ON FORECAST SOUNDINGS. STEEP
   LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES AND 35 TO 45 KT OF FLOW JUST ABOVE THE SFC
   COULD BE ENOUGH FOR A FEW STRONG WIND GUSTS ASSOCIATED WITH
   MULTICELL LINE SEGMENTS.

   ...TX COAST AND LOWER MS VALLEY...
   AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE SRN PLAINS ON THURSDAY AS
   A COLD FRONT ADVANCES SEWD ACROSS THE TX COASTAL PLAINS AND LOWER MS
   VALLEY. WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE LOWER 60S F JUST AHEAD OF THE
   FRONT...MODERATE INSTABILITY COULD BE IN PLACE THURSDAY MORNING
   ALONG THE IMMEDIATE TX COAST. THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT COULD OCCUR
   ALONG THE BOUNDARY NEAR THE TX COAST BEFORE MOVING OFFSHORE THURSDAY
   AFTERNOON. OTHER STORMS COULD DEVELOP THURSDAY AFTERNOON ALONG AND
   AHEAD OF THE BOUNDARY IN THE LOWER MS VALLEY BUT FORECAST SOUNDINGS
   SUGGEST INSTABILITY WILL REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK THERE. DUE TO THE
   TIMING OF THE FRONT ALONG THE TX COAST AND RELATIVELY WEAK
   INSTABILITY OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY...A SEVERE THREAT IS NOT
   EXPECTED TO DEVELOP THURSDAY.

   ..BROYLES.. 03/25/2015

   CLICK TO GET WUUS02 PTSDY2 PRODUCT

   NOTE: THE NEXT DAY 2 OUTLOOK IS SCHEDULED BY 0600Z


   CURRENT UTC TIME: 2007Z (4:07PM), RELOAD THIS PAGE TO UPDATE THE TIME
SPC Severe Weather Risk

Weekly Meeting Forecast March 25th, 2015

posted Mar 25, 2015, 1:05 PM by nicholas.todd@vawg.cap.gov

Forecast for March 25, 2015 at 17:00 hrs. local through 18:00 hrs. local.

Weather: Scattered Thunderstorms
**Note: Some storms could be strong to severe. Damaging winds.**
Temperature: 75°F
Winds: S at 15-25 MPH
Chance of Rain: 65%

The SPC has gave our area a MRGL risk for Severe Weather.  Primary Risks are Damaging winds in excess of 60 kt.  Other Risks are: Tornadoes, Small Hail (< 0.50 in.) and Heavy Rain fall.

Source: Custom (NWS, TWC)

SAREX Forecast

posted Mar 19, 2015, 7:07 AM by nicholas.todd@vawg.cap.gov

Weather continues to look favorable for the SAREX at KPHF.  Cloud cover will start at about 3,000 around 0800 hrs. local and continually rise and clear.  By the afternoon clouds will be scattered or fair at 12000 + AGL.  Low to mid level winds look good for flights.  More precise data will be in tomorrow.  Weather on the surface will be good for ground and air operations with gradual clearing through out the day with a high near 60°F.  Temperatures will start out in the low 40s making there way up through out the day.  Surface winds will be from the NNW shifting to the WSW by evening at about 5-10 kt. No rain is expected at this time.  I would advise light layers for the morning then standard BDUS by afternoon.  On Friday expect more detailed info.

Forecast Plot graph of raw info for KPHF.

Forecast for Saturday March 21st

posted Mar 16, 2015, 7:34 AM by nicholas.todd@vawg.cap.gov

Event: Group 2 VAWG SAREX at Newport News/Williamsburg International Airport
Date: March 21st, 2015
Weather:  Mostly Sunny with a high near 61°F.  Winds SW at 5-10 MPH.  

This forecast is subject to change, however, it is perfect weather for a SAREX.  Aircrews should expect to fly.  Check back frequently for updates.

NT

Weekly meeting of 3/19/15

posted Mar 16, 2015, 7:23 AM by nicholas.todd@vawg.cap.gov

Rain likely after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 45. Chance of precipitation is 60%.  Dress warm for the meeting temps will be in the 40s.

Weekly Meeting Forecast

posted Feb 5, 2015, 12:28 PM by nicholas.todd@vawg.cap.gov

Tonight it will be very windy and cold.  Temps will be in the low 30s and upper 20s.  Wind chills will be in the low teens.  Please dress warm this evening.  We will try to keep things inside as much as possible.

Weekly Meeting Forecast

posted Jan 28, 2015, 7:34 AM by nicholas.todd@vawg.cap.gov

Forecast for 18:00 hrs local (23:00 hrs Zulu):
Cloudy with temps in the low 40s.  Wind Chill: Mid 30s.  Winds South at 10-15 mph.

Its AE night.  We will be inside most of the way.  please bring your BDU Jacket or at least a wind breaker.  See you all Tomorrow.

By: C/SMSgt Todd
Source: NOAA

SAREX Forecast

posted Jan 23, 2015, 12:49 PM by nicholas.todd@vawg.cap.gov   [ updated Jan 23, 2015, 12:50 PM ]


Saturday:  Rain. High near 45. Breezy, with a northwest wind 20 to 22 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New precipitation amounts between a quarter and half of an inch 
possible.
Saturdays Weather is going to be very poor, yet very realistic for a Search and Rescue. Air Crews will likely not fly on Saturday. Please wear warm, water proof clothes. REMEMBER: COTTON KILLS. Do not wear cotton clothes. Wear something warm and synthetic underneath. Don't forget to dress in layers.

There will be a strong low moving up the coast on Friday Night, Saturday morning.  The storm will dump heavy rain fall across the area.  Minor Flooding is possible.  Expect high seas and waves.  As the storm moves up the coast, bombogenisus is expected to occur. Bombogenisus is the rapid intensification of a low pressure system.  The criteria to be considered a meteorological bomb is to drop 1 millibar of pressure every hour.  This means the winds in this storm will be very strong.  Expect cold, wet conditions on Saturday.

Source:  NOAA

Forecast for January 22nd, 2015

posted Jan 18, 2015, 11:08 AM by nicholas.todd@vawg.cap.gov

Thursday Jan 22, 2015 at 18:00 hrs.: 

Partly cloudy skies with temperatures in the low 40s.  Winds: NE at 3 mph.  Dew point: 29°F.  Wind chills will likely be in the upper 30s.  Please dress warm.  We will be outside a good portion of the night with this meeting being ES Night.

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